Conf = ACC ------ State =
Mascot = ------ Coach = pencerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.5452423 home-field advantage = -0.78 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 H UC Davis Big 12 ( 7- 9, 88.8) 23- 7 214 A Clemson ACC (15- 6, 95.7) 10- 9 216 A Vanderbilt AAC ( 8- 9, 88.4) 18- 6 220 H Syracuse ACC (14- 6, 95.0) 8- 6 222 H Southern California Big Ten ( 8- 9, 90.4) 18- 4 228 A Virginia ACC ( 8- 9, 93.2) 16- 8 303 A Virginia Tech ACC ( 9- 8, 90.5) 16- 6 308 H Duke ACC ( 9- 8, 93.2) 11-10 314 H Notre Dame ACC (12- 6, 94.2) 17-11 321 H Arizona State Big 12 ( 8-10, 90.4) 14- 8 326 A Boston College ACC (10- 8, 94.3) 11-13 328 A Villanova Big East ( 9- 6, 90.3) 8- 9 404 H Louisville ACC ( 6- 9, 89.8) 22- 5 410 A North Carolina ACC (18- 1, 99.9) 9-18 412 A Elon Colonial ( 7-10, 87.3) 19- 6 416 A California ACC ( 6-11, 86.6) 17- 5 422 N Boston College ACC (10- 8, 94.3) 14- 7 424 N Clemson ACC (15- 6, 95.7) 13-12 426 A North Carolina ACC (18- 1, 99.9) 8-12 508 N Penn State Big Ten (12- 7, 94.8) 7- 5 510 A Michigan Big Ten (13- 7, 95.6) 13-12 514 A North Carolina ACC (18- 1, 99.9) 11-14
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H UC Davis 23- 7 16 8 0.00 214 A Clemson 10- 9 1 0 0.92 216 A Vanderbilt 18- 6 12 7 0.00 220 H Syracuse 8- 6 2 2 -0.32 222 H Southern California 18- 4 14 6 0.07 228 A Virginia 16- 8 8 2 ++ 4.42 303 A Virginia Tech 16- 6 10 5 1.75 308 H Duke 11-10 1 4 - -3.11 314 H Notre Dame 17-11 6 3 + 2.86 321 H Arizona State 14- 8 6 6 -0.92 326 A Boston College 11-13 -2 1 - -3.50 328 A Villanova 8- 9 -1 5 --- -6.51 404 H Louisville 22- 5 17 7 0.00 410 A North Carolina 9-18 -9 -4 - -2.87 412 A Elon 19- 6 13 8 0.00 416 A California 17- 5 12 9 0.00 422 N Boston College 14- 7 7 2 ++ 4.72 424 N Clemson 13-12 1 0 0.14 426 A North Carolina 8-12 -4 -4 0.13 508 N Penn State 7- 5 2 1 0.29 510 A Michigan 13-12 1 0 0.79 514 A North Carolina 11-14 -3 -4 1.13UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 A Villanova 8- 9 -1 5 --- -6.51 308 H Duke 11-10 1 4 - -3.11 326 A Boston College 11-13 -2 1 - -3.50 410 A North Carolina 9-18 -9 -4 - -2.87OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Virginia 16- 8 8 2 ++ 4.42 422 N Boston College 14- 7 7 2 ++ 4.72 314 H Notre Dame 17-11 6 3 + 2.86
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 96.55 Power Rank................. 3 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 83.89 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 7 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7231 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 9 RPI Rating............... .6538 RPI Rank................... 10 Champ. Probability ...... 3.3 Championship Rank ......... 6 Selection sum ........... 27 Selection Rank ............ 7 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 110. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 7 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 85. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 8 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 13.8 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 8.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 17- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 6.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 3.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 4.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.0