Conf = ACC ------ State =
Mascot = ------ Coach = pencerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.4723511 home-field advantage = -0.74 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 H UC Davis Big 12 ( 7- 9, 89.0) 23- 7 214 A Clemson ACC (14- 5, 96.0) 10- 9 216 A Vanderbilt AAC ( 8- 9, 88.6) 18- 6 220 H Syracuse ACC (13- 5, 95.2) 8- 6 222 H Southern California Big Ten ( 8- 9, 90.5) 18- 4 228 A Virginia ACC ( 8- 9, 93.4) 16- 8 303 A Virginia Tech ACC ( 9- 8, 90.7) 16- 6 308 H Duke ACC ( 9- 8, 93.3) 11-10 314 H Notre Dame ACC (12- 5, 94.5) 17-11 321 H Arizona State Big 12 ( 8-10, 90.6) 14- 8 326 A Boston College ACC ( 9- 7, 94.0) 11-13 328 A Villanova Big East ( 9- 6, 90.4) 8- 9 404 H Louisville ACC ( 6- 9, 90.0) 22- 5 410 A North Carolina ACC (16- 1, 99.9) 9-18 412 A Elon Colonial ( 7-10, 87.5) 19- 6 416 A California ACC ( 6-11, 86.7) 17- 5 422 N Boston College ACC ( 9- 7, 94.0) 14- 7 424 N Clemson ACC (14- 5, 96.0) 13-12 426 A North Carolina ACC (16- 1, 99.9) 8-12 508 N Penn State Big Ten (12- 6, 95.0)
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H UC Davis 23- 7 16 8 0.00 214 A Clemson 10- 9 1 0 1.24 216 A Vanderbilt 18- 6 12 7 0.00 220 H Syracuse 8- 6 2 1 0.02 222 H Southern California 18- 4 14 6 0.26 228 A Virginia 16- 8 8 2 ++ 4.61 303 A Virginia Tech 16- 6 10 5 1.94 308 H Duke 11-10 1 3 - -2.91 314 H Notre Dame 17-11 6 2 + 3.24 321 H Arizona State 14- 8 6 6 -0.60 326 A Boston College 11-13 -2 1 - -3.77 328 A Villanova 8- 9 -1 5 --- -6.35 404 H Louisville 22- 5 17 7 0.00 410 A North Carolina 9-18 -9 -4 - -2.84 412 A Elon 19- 6 13 8 0.00 416 A California 17- 5 12 8 0.00 422 N Boston College 14- 7 7 2 ++ 4.49 424 N Clemson 13-12 1 0 0.50 426 A North Carolina 8-12 -4 -4 0.16UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 A Villanova 8- 9 -1 5 --- -6.35 308 H Duke 11-10 1 3 - -2.91 326 A Boston College 11-13 -2 1 - -3.77 410 A North Carolina 9-18 -9 -4 - -2.84OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Virginia 16- 8 8 2 ++ 4.61 422 N Boston College 14- 7 7 2 ++ 4.49 314 H Notre Dame 17-11 6 2 + 3.24
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 96.47 Power Rank................. 3 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 82.83 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 9 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6900 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 16 RPI Rating............... .6488 RPI Rank................... 11 Champ. Probability ...... 2.2 Championship Rank ......... 9 Selection sum ........... 36 Selection Rank ............ 12 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 70. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 9 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 65. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 9 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 14.3 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 8.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 6.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 3.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 4.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.3